Sunday, December 29, 2024

Day trading for quick small gains.



 https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/fkrbxd/spxl_and_spxs_day_trading_for_quicksmall_gains/

It's a valid strategy in this market, imo. If you understand the risk. As leveraged ETFs they move extremely quickly, but otherwise mirror the SPX/SPY so if you're scalping and just watching for basic short technical indicators like 3 bar plays honestly i think you're fine. Safer than my strategy of swing trading SPXS options. 😂 the risk is how quickly they deflate when the underlying moves against it, because of the leveraged position.

The only thing you have to be right on is the direction of the trend. So if SP500 is clearly bullish on the daily chart (let's say over the last 30 days), you likely have a >50% chance of being right on picking SPXL (long) or SPXS (short)

Saturday, December 28, 2024

Quantum Computing: At the Cusp of a Revolutionary Era




Quantum computing, long considered a theoretical frontier, is now proving its transformative potential. 

With significant breakthroughs, expanding market interest, and a surge in investments, the field is poised to redefine technology and the economy.

Recent Technological Breakthroughs

Google's recent unveiling of its quantum chip, Willow, highlights the technological strides being made. Willow achieved a computation in under five minutes—a task that would take classical supercomputers 10 septillion years. This accomplishment underscores quantum computing's ability to tackle problems previously deemed unsolvable. IBM's advanced quantum processors are enabling longer and more complex quantum circuits, paving the way for robust applications.

While these achievements demonstrate quantum computing’s power, startups are also playing a crucial role in accelerating the industry’s progress. Companies like Quantum Computing Inc. ($QUBT) are making waves with accessible quantum-ready solutions tailored for industries like finance, logistics, and healthcare. Their focus on software-driven quantum applications positions them as key players in bridging theoretical research and practical deployment.

Startups Driving Innovation

Beyond Google and IBM, quantum computing startups like Rigetti Computing, IonQ, and D-Wave are at the forefront of innovation:

  • Quantum Computing Inc. ($QUBT): Known for its quantum-as-a-service (QaaS) approach, $QUBT has gained attention for delivering real-world quantum solutions. The company’s stock has more than doubled recently, reflecting growing confidence in its potential.

  • Rigetti Computing: A leader in hybrid quantum-classical computing, Rigetti’s shares surged over 1,000% this year. Their cloud-based quantum solutions are already being used by enterprises to optimize complex systems.

  • IonQ: Specializing in trapped-ion technology, IonQ is advancing error correction and scalability, addressing two of the most critical challenges in quantum computing.

  • D-Wave: Focused on quantum annealing, D-Wave is delivering applications for optimization problems, particularly in sectors like manufacturing and logistics.

Market Growth and Economic Potential

The quantum computing market is entering a high-growth phase. In 2024, the market size was approximately $1 billion, but it is projected to grow to $5 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 36%. Under optimistic scenarios, the market could reach $15 billion by 2030. By 2040, quantum computing is expected to contribute up to $850 billion in economic value, with a supporting hardware and software market valued at $170 billion.

Investment and Industry Momentum

Investor interest in quantum technologies is surging, even in a cautious economic environment. Venture capitalists poured $1.2 billion into quantum startups in 2024. This influx of funding reflects growing confidence in the industry’s potential to deliver transformative results. Publicly traded companies, such as $QUBT and Rigetti Computing, have seen remarkable stock performance, underscoring market enthusiasm.

Challenges and Future Outlook

Despite its promise, quantum computing faces significant hurdles, including qubit stability, error correction, and scaling. However, recent advancements are rapidly addressing these challenges. For example, $QUBT’s software-centric approach simplifies the integration of quantum solutions into existing systems, bypassing some hardware limitations.

The convergence of technological advancements, startup innovations, and investment momentum suggests that quantum computing is at a decisive juncture. As challenges are overcome and applications expand, quantum computing is set to revolutionize industries ranging from pharmaceuticals to artificial intelligence.

Conclusion

Quantum computing is no longer a distant dream but a burgeoning reality. With established players and agile startups driving innovation, the field is on the cusp of delivering unprecedented technological and economic value. Investors, researchers, and industries alike are gearing up for a quantum-powered future, and the time to embrace this revolution is now.

Wednesday, December 25, 2024

Leveraged SPY tickers: SSO and SPXL



The most liquid leveraged asset tracking the S&P 500 (which SPY also tracks) is the ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (SSO) for 2x leverage, and the Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares (SPXL) for 3x leverage.

2x Leveraged ETF

The ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (SSO) is the most liquid 2x leveraged ETF tracking the S&P 500. It has the following characteristics:

- Three-Month Average Daily Volume: 6,458,386

- Assets Under Management: $3.0 billion

- Expense Ratio: 0.89%

SSO seeks daily investment returns that are twice the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index, before fees and expenses.

3x Leveraged ETF

For 3x leverage, the Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares (SPXL) has the highest liquidity. Its key features include:

- Three-Month Average Daily Volume: 14,277,112

- Assets Under Management: $2.7 billion

- Expense Ratio: 0.97%

SPXL aims for daily investment returns of 300% of those of the S&P 500 Index.

It's important to note that these leveraged ETFs are designed for short-term trading and not for long-term holding, as they reset their leverage daily, which can lead to compounding of returns when held for extended periods.

Microaccelerations: The Power of Small Gains in Portfolio Management

 Microaccelerations: The Power of Small Gains in Portfolio Management



In the world of investing, it's often tempting to focus on big wins and dramatic market movements. However, the concept of Microaccelerations—taking small, consistent gains of 2-3% or even up to 10%—can significantly boost overall portfolio performance over time. This strategy, when applied judiciously, can lead to substantial cumulative returns and help investors navigate market volatility more effectively.

The Compounding Effect of Small Gains

Microaccelerations work on the principle of compound growth. By consistently realizing small profits and reinvesting them, investors can harness the power of compounding to accelerate portfolio gains. This approach is particularly effective in sectors known for their volatility and growth potential, such as technology, semiconductors, and financial services.

Examples in Action

Chip Stocks

Consider the semiconductor industry, which has seen significant growth and volatility in recent years. Let's look at Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as an example:

An investor who bought AMD stock at $75 and sold it at $77.25 (a 3% gain) could have repeated this process multiple times throughout the year. While each individual gain seems small, the cumulative effect can be substantial, especially when compared to a buy-and-hold strategy during periods of sideways trading[8].

Tech Stocks

In the broader technology sector, companies like Super Micro Computer (SMCI) have shown potential for microacceleration strategies:

SMCI's stock has experienced significant volatility, with rapid price movements in both directions. An investor employing a microacceleration strategy could have capitalized on these fluctuations by taking small gains of 2-3% during upswings, potentially outperforming those who held through the downturns[2].

Financial Stocks

Financial stocks, known for their sensitivity to economic cycles, can also benefit from a microacceleration approach. For instance, consider a hypothetical scenario with Morgan Stanley (MS):

An investor could have bought MS shares at $80 and sold at $84 (a 5% gain), repeating this process during periods of market optimism. This strategy could have yielded multiple small gains throughout the year, potentially outperforming a buy-and-hold approach during periods of sector volatility[2].

Benefits of Microaccelerations

1. Risk Management: By taking small, frequent gains, investors can reduce exposure to sudden market downturns.

2. Emotional Discipline: This strategy encourages a disciplined approach, helping investors avoid the pitfalls of emotional decision-making.

3. Flexibility: Microaccelerations allow investors to adapt quickly to changing market conditions and sector rotations.

4. Compounding Opportunities: Frequent small gains create more opportunities for reinvestment and compounding.

Considerations and Caveats

While Microaccelerations can be powerful, they require careful execution:

  1. Transaction Costs: Frequent trading can incur higher transaction costs, potentially eating into gains.
  2. Tax Implications: Short-term capital gains may be taxed at a higher rate than long-term holdings[6].
  3. Market Timing Challenges: Consistently timing small market movements can be difficult and requires vigilance.

Conclusion

Microaccelerations offer a compelling strategy for investors looking to optimize their portfolio performance. By capitalizing on small, frequent gains across sectors like semiconductors, technology, and finance, investors can potentially accelerate their overall returns. However, this approach requires careful planning, disciplined execution, and consideration of individual financial circumstances. As with any investment strategy, it's crucial to balance the potential benefits with the associated risks and costs.

Citations:

[1] https://www.bcg.com/industries/principal-investors-private-equity/portfolio-acceleration

[2] https://investorplace.com/2024/05/3-chip-stocks-to-buy-to-invest-in-ais-brain/

[3] https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/11/5-portfolio-protection-strategies.asp

[4] https://firstrate.com/blog/evaluating-the-portfolio-construction-process-part-two-micro-attribution

[5] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1KoE6kGsq4

[6] https://artafinance.com/insights/what-is-direct-indexing

[7] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CbrIDzThDJM

[8] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/chip-stocks-could-rocket-2025-112000781.html

[9] https://www.tawcan.com/living-off-dividends-tax-free/

Sunday, December 22, 2024

Accelerate your portfolio, and insulate against downturn

To accelerate your portfolio and insulate against pullbacks using beta, consider the following strategies:

Understanding Beta

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility relative to the overall market. 

A beta of 1 indicates that the stock moves in line with the market, while a beta greater than 1 suggests higher volatility, and less than 1 indicates lower volatility.

Accelerating Your Portfolio

1. Strategic Beta Approaches

   Strategic beta, also known as smart beta, uses rules-based indexing to potentially outperform cap-weighted indexes. These strategies can:

  • Provide cost-effective exposure to factors that may enhance returns
  • Offer greater style purity and transparency
  • Serve as a complement to traditional active and passive strategies

2. Multi-factor Strategies

   Incorporating multi-factor strategic beta approaches can replace or complement core equity exposures. These strategies aim to capture multiple return drivers, potentially improving overall portfolio performance.

3. Factor Rotation

   Consider rotating portfolio exposures to different factors such as value, momentum, or quality based on market conditions. This dynamic approach can help capitalize on changing market environments.

Insulating Against Pullbacks

1. Low-Beta Stocks

   Allocate a portion of your portfolio to low-beta stocks, which tend to be less volatile during market downturns. These stocks may provide more stability during pullbacks.

2. Market Neutral Strategies

   Consider ETFs like the AGFiQ U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta ETF (BTAL), which goes long on low-beta stocks and shorts high-beta stocks. This strategy can potentially generate positive returns during market corrections.

3. Cash Flow Protection

   Identify near and intermediate-term cash flow needs and insulate them from stock market volatility[2]. Allocate these funds to safer assets like high-quality bonds to protect against forced selling during market downturns.

4. Beta-Weighted Portfolio Analysis

   Use beta-weighting tools to analyze your overall portfolio exposure relative to a benchmark like SPY[6]. This allows you to adjust your positions to maintain a desired risk profile as market conditions change.

5. Structured Products

   For suitable investors, incorporating structured products can offer downside protection while still providing upside potential. These can be tailored to specific market scenarios and risk tolerances.

Balancing Acceleration and Protection

1. Diversification

   Maintain a diversified portfolio across ideas and business drivers to take advantage of opportunities while managing risks[8].

2. Valuation Discipline

   Avoid overpaying for stocks based on current valuations for future growth prospects. This can help protect against excessive losses during market pullbacks.

3. Active Risk Management

   Implement dynamic risk management strategies, such as setting trailing stop losses for individual positions. This can help lock in gains and limit downside exposure.

By combining these strategies, you can potentially accelerate your portfolio's growth while also building in safeguards against market pullbacks. Remember to regularly review and rebalance your portfolio to maintain your desired risk-return profile.

Citations:

[1] https://www.jhinvestments.com/viewpoints/investing-basics/understanding-strategic-beta

[2] https://www.brightonjones.com/blog/investing-lessons-financial-crisis/

[3] https://seekingalpha.com/article/4327195-etf-portfolio-hedging-strategy-2-turning-beta-anti-beta-btal

[4] https://www.investopedia.com/articles/07/alphabeta.asp

[5] https://privatebank.jpmorgan.com/nam/en/insights/markets-and-investing/building-a-robust-investment-portfolio-3-ideas-for-how-to-diversify

[6] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A-nTVuOaAjo

[7] https://advisor.vcm.com/blog/strategic-beta-how-to

[8] https://www.thearmchairtrader.com/protect-portfolio-stocks-recession/

[9] https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/investment-products/etf/smart-beta

[10] https://www.kiplinger.com/personal-finance/603306/8-ways-to-insulate-yourself-from-inflation

[11] https://www.schwab.com/public/file/P-9017169

Thursday, December 19, 2024

Respect, to my Guru Brian P Anderson

 Personally would like to say thanks to Brian. Thanks to Langham trading, could evolve a pretty consistent system. Brian taught me two things:

1. Enter at the right price

2. Exit when you meet you target and most importantly strike in the hour and move on with your ilfe.

Its not about spending many hours, its about doing it a little (1 hour) and consistently
Over time the returns average up irrespective.

If you want to read more on him, read his book, Here is the excerpt


Is the market beating you up? Do you feel like you're taking one step forward, 2 steps back with your investment income? Would you like a proven, step-by-step strategy for generating consistent trading profits? 

Trading is one of the few ways to realistically create your own "Rags to Riches" Story. But it's not a get rich quick strategy that will get you there. The secret is to adopt a laser beam focus on ONE specific strategy until you've mastered it. 

In "The 1 Hour Trade," you'll get a detailed, step-by-step blueprint that works. Unlike other trading books giving you investment theory, you'll be taught a successful strategy in its entirety, including the specific scanning parameters for locating the trades, the exact analysis decisions you'll need to qualify the trade, and the specific steps to take to execute the trade and come out with a profit.

https://www.amazon.com/Hour-Trade-Strategy-Langham-Trading/dp/1503095932

Btw, he taught all of this over a free chat session. Very unassuming and an amazing Guy.

Did Buy his book :)

Thank you, Brian

Sunday, December 15, 2024

What up with $AMD?

 Its a cycle, that what it is...

Wait your turn AMD

$NVDA ==> $MRVL ==> $AVGO ==> $TSM ===> $MU ==> $AMD ==> $INTC

is a possible cyclic order.


Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) appears to be undervalued based on several valuation methods:

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Model:

   - Fair value estimate of $219 per share, suggesting AMD is undervalued by approximately 21% at its current price[1].

   - Another DCF model estimates the intrinsic value at $153.72, indicating AMD is undervalued by 15%[4].

2. Relative Valuation:

   - AMD's market cap should be 16-20% of Nvidia's, implying a fair value range of $228 to $285 per share[3].

3. Analyst Estimates:

   - Analysts' price target is $187, which is 17% higher than the DCF estimate of $219[1].

4. Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio -- not a huge fan, but nevertheless:

   - AMD's current P/E ratio of 112.8x is higher than the industry average of 31.9x, suggesting it may be overvalued on this metric[6].

   - However, AMD's high P/E may be justified by its strong growth prospects in the AI market[3].

5. Growth Potential:

   - AMD is well-positioned in the rapidly expanding AI market, with estimates suggesting it could capture 20% of the $400 billion AI TAM by 2027[3].

While some models suggest overvaluation, the majority of analyses indicate that AMD is undervalued, especially considering its growth potential in the AI sector. Investors should consider AMD's strong position in the semiconductor industry and its potential for future growth when evaluating its current valuation.

Citations:

[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/advanced-micro-devices-inc-nasdaq-120014673.html

[2] https://www.macroaxis.com/valuation/AMD/Advanced-Micro-Devices

[3] https://www.reddit.com/r/AMD_Stock/comments/1b9cxi5/bullish_on_amd_valuation_argument/

[4] https://www.alphaspread.com/security/nasdaq/amd/summary

[5] https://www.alphaspread.com/security/nasdaq/amd/dcf-valuation

[6] https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/semiconductors/nasdaq-amd/advanced-micro-devices/valuation

[7] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=05z36fSoWIo

Wednesday, December 4, 2024

Trip.com: A worthy stock to hold

 The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. For example, the Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) share price has soared 156% in the last three years. How nice for those who held the stock! On top of that, the share price is up 37% in about a quarter. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.








https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trip-com-group-nasdaq-tcom-141736160.html

Friday, November 29, 2024

Unsustainable stock pricing

 Unsustainable stock price zones occur when stock prices rise significantly above their intrinsic value, often due to speculative bubbles. These bubbles are fueled by factors such as excessive liquidity, investor psychology, and market sentiment, leading to rapid price increases that are not supported by fundamentals[2][3]. When the bubble bursts, it can result in sharp declines in stock prices, causing economic disruptions and recessions[1][2]. Historical examples include the 1920s stock market bubble and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s[2][3]. Recognizing these unsustainable zones is crucial for investors to avoid significant financial losses.


Sources

[1] The worst stock market crashes of all time - IG https://www.ig.com/en/trading-strategies/the-worst-stock-market-crashes-of-all-time-181031

[2] How Do Asset Bubbles Cause Recessions? - Investopedia https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/082515/how-do-asset-bubbles-cause-recessions.asp

[3] 5 Stages of a Bubble - Investopedia https://www.investopedia.com/articles/stocks/10/5-steps-of-a-bubble.asp

[4] 15 Factors that Affect Stock Market Prices - Strike.money https://www.strike.money/stock-market/price-factors

[5] Stock Market Crash: Causes, History, and How to Protect Your ... https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/biggest-stock-market-crashes-in-history

[6] Biggest Stock Market Crashes In US History - Bankrate https://www.bankrate.com/investing/biggest-stock-market-crashes-in-us-history/

[7] [PDF] Stock Market Concentration - Morgan Stanley https://www.morganstanley.com/im/publication/insights/articles/article_stockmarketconcentration.pdf

[8] Understanding stock market volatility and how it could help you https://www.fidelity.com.sg/beginners/your-guide-to-stock-investing/understanding-stock-market-volatility

Monday, November 25, 2024

Bitcoin/Crypto to payoff National Debt (BTC) - 35 Trillion $ Only

Dollar gaining strength over other currencies by strategically building Bitcoin and Energy reserves can enbale USA to pay off the National Whopping debt of 35 Trillion $.

This would take a balancing act of Crypto mining and Energy reserves. Deploying nuclear power towards systematic mining along with building the reserves may just DO it.

Interested, read more....

While the idea of using cryptocurrency to address the U.S. national debt has gained attention, particularly from figures like Donald Trump and Senator Cynthia Lummis, the feasibility of systematically mining and trading crypto coins to pay off the debt faces several challenges:

Scale and Practicality

The U.S. national debt currently stands at approximately $35 trillion, which far exceeds the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined[1]. Even if the U.S. were to acquire a significant portion of the crypto market, it would likely be insufficient to make a substantial dent in the debt.

Mining Limitations

Bitcoin, the most prominent cryptocurrency, has a capped supply of 21 million coins, of which about 90% has already been mined[1]. This leaves limited potential for new Bitcoin production through mining. Additionally, the decentralized nature of cryptocurrency mining makes it difficult for a single entity, even a government, to control a significant portion of the mining process.

Proposed Strategies

Instead of mining, some politicians and industry figures have proposed alternative approaches:

1. Strategic Reserve: Senator Lummis has introduced a bill to establish a Bitcoin strategic reserve, aiming to acquire 5% of the total Bitcoin supply over time[3].

2. Debt Reduction Plan: Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy suggests that buying one million Bitcoins over five years could potentially reduce the national debt by $16 trillion, or 45% of the total[2].

3. Crypto Checks: Trump has suggested "issuing small crypto checks" as part of a strategy to repay the national debt[3].

 Economic Implications

Proponents argue that a Bitcoin reserve could:

- Stabilize the dollar and increase national wealth

- Serve as a hedge against inflation

- Preserve the country's financial dominance

However, critics point out the volatility of cryptocurrencies and the potential risks of relying on speculative assets for national debt management.

Political Considerations

The idea of using cryptocurrencies to address the national debt has gained some traction among certain political figures, but it remains a controversial and untested approach. It would require significant legislative support and a shift in monetary policy to implement such strategies.

In conclusion, while systematically mining and trading crypto coins is unlikely to be a viable solution for paying off the U.S. national debt, the broader concept of incorporating cryptocurrencies into national financial strategies is gaining attention. However, any such plans would face substantial practical, economic, and political hurdles before implementation.


Citations:

[1] https://cointelegraph.com/news/trump-promises-crypto-election-usa

[2] https://www.fxleaders.com/news/2024/11/15/michael-saylor-explains-how-a-bitcoin-reserve-could-reduce-u-s-debt-by-16-trillion/

[3] https://www.cointribune.com/en/donald-trump-suggests-using-bitcoin-to-repay-the-us-debt/

AAPL: Modestly overvalued

 


Thursday, November 21, 2024

Beware of the Bitcoin Hoarders

Several companies are hoarding Bitcoin as a strategy to potentially boost their stock prices. 

Here's a list of notable companies engaging in this practice:


1. MicroStrategy (MSTR): Holds approximately 279,420 bitcoins as of November 10, 2024.


2. Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA): Holds 10,427 BTC


3. Riot Platforms (RIOT): Holds 10,427 BTC.


4. CleanSpark (CLSK): Exact holdings not specified, but actively involved in Bitcoin mining.


5. Galaxy Digital: Holds 4,000 BTC.


6. Exodus (EXOD): Purchased 1,787 bitcoins in December 2023


7. NEXON: Holds 1,717 BTC.


8. Bit Digital (BTBT): Holds 731 BTC.


9. BIGG Digital Assets Inc: Holds 575 BTC.


10. Metaplanet: Recently doubled its BTC holdings to 855.5 bitcoins.


These companies have seen significant stock price increases correlating with their Bitcoin holdings. For example, MicroStrategy's stock price has increased by more than 26 times since August 2020 when it began its Bitcoin acquisition strategy. Similarly, Exodus has seen its stock price rise by 687% since its Bitcoin purchase.


https://www.chaincatcher.com/en/article/2147875

Sunday, November 17, 2024

Nvidia and 2 Chip Stocks to Buy

 Nvidia 

Marvell , and Broadcom  are well positioned to benefit from the trend, said analyst Blayne Curtis on Thursday. He has Buy ratings on all three companies.


Is Advanced Micro Devices Still Cheap?

 

Is Advanced Micro Devices Still Cheap?

Good news, investors! Advanced Micro Devices is still a bargain right now. According to our valuation, the intrinsic value for the stock is $213.12, but it is currently trading at US$139 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now.

Intrigued read more here :: 
https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/semiconductors/nasdaq-amd/advanced-micro-devices/news/should-you-investigate-advanced-micro-devices-inc-nasdaqamd

Saturday, November 16, 2024

Managing Investment Risk: With a Simple Analogy

Mapping investments to the Mohs scale of hardness is an interesting analogy that can help illustrate the relative resilience and stability of different investment types. Here's how we might conceptualize this:

Investment Hardness Scale

1. Cash (Talc): Highly liquid but offers little resistance to inflation.

2. Savings Accounts (Gypsum): Slightly more resistant than cash, with minimal interest.

3. Certificates of Deposit (Calcite): More structured, with penalties for early withdrawal.

4. Government Bonds (Fluorite): Generally stable, but can be affected by interest rate changes.

5. Corporate Bonds (Apatite): Harder than government bonds, with higher yields but more risk.

6. Real Estate (Orthoclase): Tangible asset, resistant to some market fluctuations.

7. Blue Chip Stocks (Quartz): Well-established companies, relatively stable in the long term.

8. Growth Stocks (Topaz): Higher potential returns, but also higher volatility.

9. Commodities (Corundum): Hard assets like gold or oil, often used as inflation hedges.

10. Venture Capital/Private Equity (Diamond): Highest risk and potential reward, least liquid.

Key Considerations

Diversification:

Just as a geologist uses various minerals for different purposes, a balanced investment portfolio should include a mix of "hardnesses".

Risk Tolerance:

Your personal risk tolerance determines how far up the "hardness" scale you're comfortable investing.

Time Horizon: 

Longer investment horizons generally allow for "harder" investments that may be more volatile in the short term[5].

Liquidity Needs:

"Softer" investments are typically more liquid, while "harder" ones may be difficult to sell quickly.

Remember, this analogy is not perfect. Unlike minerals, investments can change in "hardness" over time, and market conditions can affect all levels of the scale. Always consult with a financial advisor to create an investment strategy tailored to your specific needs and goals.

Finally, Cryptos may be mapped to a Mohs scale as well.  Stablecoins, on the harder end, Well established ones like Bitcoin in the middle and smaller Altcoins on the softer end.

Disclaimer :: comparison is metaphorical rather than literal.

what are the top holdings of IBIT? Very interesting.

 Based on the available information, the top holdings of the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) are:


1. US Dollars: This makes up 99.96% of the fund's holdings.


2. Deposits with Broker for Short Positions: This accounts for the remaining 0.04% of the fund's holdings.


It's important to note that IBIT is designed to track the performance of Bitcoin. While the fund's assets are primarily held in US dollars, the ETF's objective is to reflect the performance of Bitcoin's price. 


The structure of holding mostly cash is likely due to the nature of how this Bitcoin ETF operates. Rather than holding Bitcoin directly, it may use financial instruments or contracts to achieve exposure to Bitcoin's price movements while maintaining its assets in a more liquid form.


This composition aligns with the fund's investment objective, which is to seek to reflect generally the performance of the price of Bitcoin[5]. The cash holdings allow the fund to manage liquidity and facilitate the creation and redemption process typical of ETFs, while still providing investors with exposure to Bitcoin's price movements.

Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Top Crypto Choices on Robinhood

 Based on the available information, here are some of the best cryptocurrency options to consider trading on Robinhood:


## Top Crypto Choices on Robinhood


1. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH)

While not technically "altcoins," Bitcoin and Ethereum remain the two largest and most established cryptocurrencies. They are available on Robinhood and are generally considered core holdings for many crypto investors[1][5].


2. Litecoin (LTC)

Litecoin is often referred to as the "silver to Bitcoin's gold" and has been around since 2011. It's one of the more established altcoins available on Robinhood[1].


3. Avalanche (AVAX)

Avalanche has gained attention due to its partnerships with major companies like Amazon. It's seen as having real-world utility and potential for growth[1].


4. Dogecoin (DOGE)

While started as a meme coin, Dogecoin has gained significant popularity and is available on Robinhood. Its status as a proof-of-work (PoW) cryptocurrency may make it less likely to face regulatory scrutiny[1][5].


5. Chainlink (LINK)

Chainlink is available on Robinhood and is known for its oracle network that provides real-world data to blockchain applications[3].


## Considerations


- **Diversity**: Robinhood offers over 15 cryptocurrencies for trading, allowing for a diverse portfolio[2].

- **Low Costs**: Robinhood is known for its zero-commission trading structure, which applies to crypto as well[2][4].

- **Ease of Use**: The platform allows you to buy fractional shares of crypto with as little as $1, making it accessible for beginners[2].


## Caution


It's important to note that many users in the cryptocurrency community advise against using Robinhood for crypto trading, citing concerns about ownership and control of the actual coins[1]. Consider researching self-custody options and other platforms that allow direct ownership and transfer of cryptocurrencies.


Remember, cryptocurrency investments can be highly volatile and risky. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.


Citations:

[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/145xye7/which_alt_coins_left_on_robinhood_would_you_buy/

[2] https://www.newsweek.com/vault/investing/invest-in-crypto-with-robinhood/

[3] https://robinhood.com/eu/en/about/crypto/

[4] https://robinhood.com/us/en/support/articles/no-commission-crypto/

[5] https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/cryptocurrency/top-10-cryptocurrencies/

[6] https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/best-crypto-top-cryptocurrencies

[7] https://robinhood.com/us/en/support/articles/cardano-polygon-solana-update/

[8] https://robinhood.com/eu/en/support/articles/crypto-buying-and-selling/

Saturday, November 9, 2024

ALAB: Worth noticing.

"My rating for ALAB -0.33%↓ is “imminent violent sinusoid”.

No idea what the amplitude or frequency of the sinusoid will be, but this ticker is definitely going way down because of Grace-Blackwell then will recover later because of Trainium/Inferentia." - From

https://irrationalanalysis.substack.com/p/astera-labs-impending-revenue-implosion


With Zero Outflows from institutions and only buying in Q1 / Q3, this one is all primed for take off

All Top names with hands in the cookie jar:

Top Institutional Holders

HolderSharesDate Reported% OutValue
FMR, LLC23.35MJun 30, 202414.72%2,318,709,388
Intel Corporation5.9MJun 30, 20243.72%586,194,629
Atreides Management, LP2.78MJun 30, 20241.75%275,689,478
Vanguard Group Inc2MJun 30, 20241.26%198,976,849
Blackrock Inc.1.49MJun 30, 20240.94%147,918,178
Invesco Ltd.1.44MJun 30, 20240.91%143,153,168
JP Morgan Chase & Company1.42MJun 30, 20240.90%141,079,982
Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.04MJun 30, 20240.65%103,041,031
Maverick Capital Ltd.996.75kJun 30, 20240.63%98,977,278
Summit Partners Public Asset Management LLC940.6kJun 30, 20240.59%93,401,682