Monday, October 28, 2024

Alphabet: 24% implied upside

 Alphabet primarily generates revenue through its Google operating segment, though its autonomous driving subsidiary Waymo could one day be a meaningful growth driver. In June, Forrester Research ranked Google as a leader in foundational large language models shortly after the company released Gemini, a family of models that have been integrated across its advertising and cloud computing ecosystems.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/10/28/palantir-stock-alphabet-stock-wall-street-buy-sell/

Tuesday, October 22, 2024

JPMC and Goldman know best

 Sur said his top chip stock ideas are Broadcom 

Marvell Technology Micron Technology Analog Devices , and Microchip Technology . He has an Overweight rating on the five stocks.

Monday, October 21, 2024

8 DIVVY Tickers ... A Great Dividend Layer for any investor.

 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/34-old-saying-bye-bye-140034595.html


Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares (VTI) 

Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:VOO) is another broader market ETF

Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (NYSE:SCHD) tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index and gives exposure to some of the top dividend stocks trading in the U.S., including Home Depot, Coca-Cola, Verizon, Lockheed Martin, Pepsi and AbbVie, among many others. 

With a 5% dividend yield and 30 years of consecutive dividend increases, Realty Income Corp (NYSE:O) has become a top dividend pick for many investors, especially after the first rate cut. 

JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (NYSE:JEPI)

Altria Group Inc. (NYSE:MO) was among the top high-yield dividend stocks in the investor’s portfolio,

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE:ABR

WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund (NYSE:USFR) invests in U.S. treasuries with floating rates. 


This can well define a resounding Divvy layer for any investor.

AMZN

 https://www.tipranks.com/news/time-to-pull-the-trigger-says-scott-devitt-about-amazon-stock


“We think investors should take advantage of this period of relative underperformance,” the analyst summed up, giving AMZN an Outperform (i.e. Buy) rating with a $225 price target. If Devitt’s forecast is accurate, investors could see a 22% gain over the next year. (To watch Devitt’s track record, click here)

That’s hardly a controversial take on Wall Street with 44 other analysts joining Devitt in the bull camp, all pitted against just 2 Holds, resulting in a Strong Buy consensus rating. The average target stands at $224.38, closely mirroring the Wedbush analyst’s objective.

Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Risk averse investing

 https://cdn.cboe.com/resources/indices/documents/pap-assetconsultinggroup-cboe-feb2012.pdf


Used perplexity to summarize the report 

Based on the information provided in the document, I would recommend considering options-based investment strategies, particularly the PUT (CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite) Index, for investors looking to enhance risk-adjusted returns. Here are some key reasons:


## Performance


The PUT Index demonstrated the highest total growth over the 23.5-year period analyzed, with a cumulative return of 1153% (10.4% annualized) compared to 807% (9.0% annualized) for the S&P 500 Index[1]. This outperformance was achieved while also exhibiting lower volatility.


## Risk Reduction


The options-based strategies, including PUT, BXM (BuyWrite), and CLL (Collar), all showed about 30% lower volatility compared to the S&P 500 Index[1]. This reduced volatility can be particularly appealing for risk-averse investors.


## Downside Protection


The options-based strategies provided better downside protection during market declines. For example, the CLL Index had a maximum monthly loss of -8.0% compared to -16.8% for the S&P 500 Index over the analyzed period[1].


## Risk-Adjusted Returns


The PUT Index demonstrated the highest Sortino Ratio at 0.90, compared to 0.50 for the S&P 500 Index, indicating superior risk-adjusted performance[1].


## Income Generation


These strategies generate regular income through option premiums. For instance, the BXM Index collected an average gross monthly premium of 1.8%[1].


## Considerations


While the options-based strategies offer attractive benefits, investors should be aware that they may limit upside potential in strongly bullish markets. The choice between PUT, BXM, BXY, or CLL strategies would depend on an investor's specific risk tolerance and return objectives.


In conclusion, for investors seeking to enhance risk-adjusted returns, reduce volatility, and potentially outperform the broader market over the long term, the PUT Index strategy appears to be a compelling option based on the historical data presented.


Citations:

[1] https://cdn.cboe.com/resources/indices/documents/pap-assetconsultinggroup-cboe-feb2012.pdf

Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Oil Stocks

Here are some of the best performing oil stocks as of October 2024:


## Top Oil Stock Performers


**Integrated Oil Companies:**

- Exxon Mobil (XOM): 17.2% return in 2024[1]

- Chevron (CVX): Trading at a 16% discount to fair value estimate[2]


**Exploration & Production:**

- Diamondback Energy (FANG): 11.2% return in 2024[1]

- Marathon Oil (MRO): 10.2% return in 2024[1]

- Hess: Trading at a 25% discount to fair value estimate[2]


**Refining:**

- Marathon Petroleum (MPC): 9.8% return in 2024[1]

- HF Sinclair: Trading at a 30% discount to fair value estimate[2]


**Oilfield Services:**

- SLB (formerly Schlumberger): Trading at a 31% discount to fair value estimate[2]

- Halliburton: Trading at a 23% discount to fair value estimate[2]


**Pipeline & Infrastructure:**

- Targa Resources (TRGP): 70.4% return in 2024[1]

- The Williams Companies (WMB): 31.1% return in 2024[1]

- ONEOK (OKE): 29.8% return in 2024[1]

- Kinder Morgan (KMI): 25.3% return in 2024[1]


## Factors to Consider


When evaluating oil stocks, it's important to consider:


1. Market conditions and oil prices

2. Company-specific factors like balance sheet strength and dividend yield

3. Diversification within the energy sector

4. Long-term industry trends, including the shift towards renewable energy


Remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results, and the energy sector can be volatile. It's advisable to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.


Citations:

[1] https://www.bankrate.com/investing/best-performing-energy-stocks/

[2] https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/best-energy-stocks-buy

[3] https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/oil-stocks

[4] https://finance.yahoo.com/u/yahoo-finance/watchlists/oil-and-gas-stocks?guccounter=1

[5] https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/the-best-oil-stocks-to-buy-now-according-to-the-pros

[6] https://www.zacks.com/stocks/industry-rank/industry/oil-and-gas-integrated-united-states-137

[7] https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/best-oil-stocks/

[8] https://money.usnews.com/investing/slideshows/best-oil-and-gas-stocks-to-buy