Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Post Cliff : Promising Stocks

Four Stock Ideas For This Market
This week, I selected four highly ranked small-mid-cap GARP (growth at a reasonable price) stocks from Sabrient's universe for you to consider because the market has been favoring those market caps.

Ingredion Inc. (INGR) - Consumer Non Cyclical
Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) - Consumer Non Cyclical
Oil States International Inc (OIS) - Energy
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (SPPI) - Healthcare

http://www.investopedia.com/university/stockpicking/stockpicking5.asp#axzz2FPzsNTz7

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/02/06/5-explosive-growers-to-buy-or-watch.aspx

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Short interest ratio captures market sentiment

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/01/082201.asp#axzz2EvgP2tPt

If there is a huge percentage of short interest shares, clearly that indicates a
decline on the stock and buyer's beware/

SPPI is a great example.

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Beta factor

Value of BetaInterpretationExample
β < 0Asset generally moves in the opposite direction as compared to the indexGold, which often moves opposite to the movements of the stock market
β = 0Movement of the asset is uncorrelated with the movement of the benchmarkFixed-yield asset, whose growth is unrelated to the movement of the stock market
0 < β < 1Movement of the asset is generally in the same direction as, but less than the movement of the benchmarkStable, "staple" stock such as a company that makes soap. Moves in the same direction as the market at large, but less susceptible to day-to-day fluctuation.
β = 1Movement of the asset is generally in the same direction as, and about the same amount as the movement of the benchmarkA representative stock, or a stock that is a strong contributor to the index itself.
β > 1Movement of the asset is generally in the same direction as, but more than the movement of the benchmarkVolatile stock, such as a tech stock, or stocks which are very strongly influenced by day-to-day market news.

This helps great in determining to play safe or play risky.

also , long term plays would be beta between 0 and 1

beta = 1 implies companies that show the overall index (AAPL = 0.93)

Monday, December 3, 2012

Invensense may break all odds, MEMS

http://beta.fool.com/txinvestor82/2012/11/27/why-invensense-multibagger-making/15207/?ticker=INVN&source=eogyholnk0000001

STX has potential *seagate*

Strong fundamentals, good dividend payout.

This one to own

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

KLIC, the new kid in town

With all the semiconductor based products getting doled out, it needs packing and equipment to do the same.

KLIC owned by Vanguard and a decent balance sheet with strong fundamentals seems to fit the bill.

Monday, October 8, 2012

Apple will make a major comeback.

Apple will make a terrific comeback.

If you are an options player, time to buy some call options.

Look at it from any angle and Apple is still a WINNER.

Even better, who else is there?

Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Coverage: SPPI, QCOR, SIMO ...

Put/Call ratio Guru Momentum MorningStar 52wk low Misc
SPPI 0.52 4 3 5        N
QCOR 1.02 5 3 3 Y * litigation
SIMO 0.21 4 3 4 Y
SCLN 0.86 7 2 4 N
CTB 0.21 6 3 4 N
LQDT 0.52 5 3 3 N

SPPI seems to be the only one attractive.

Saturday, September 29, 2012

SIMO vs SCLN

/Both seem attractive.

SCLN is into bio-tech, China based.

SIMO develops and manufactures embedded graphics, digital signal processing, and multimedia companion chips

Both seem to have good upswing potential with strong fundamentals and
high interest from hedge funds (esp. SCLN)

WATCH, don't enter just yet.

Friday, September 21, 2012

24% return on Barrick, Closed positions on Barrick

Bought at 34.6

Sold at 43.04

Return  ~ 24% in just less than 2 months.

~ 12 % PER MONTH.


Thanks to all my readers, we have crossed 1600 page views.

Friday, September 14, 2012

Buy Facebook and rake in 30% over two years atleast

Slowly but steadily Facebook will make it. (simply because is there any one else?)

Also, the Web scenario is looking bipolar.

On on side is Amazon, Google, Samsung/Sony

and on the other is:

Apple, Facebook

And the race has just begun.

Friday, August 31, 2012

Apple victory is tenuous

Apple is the innovative genius, no doubt.

Mr Cook has harnessed the supply chains and stream lined it well.

News like this:
http://wallstcheatsheet.com/stocks/samsung-wins-victory-over-apple.html/?ref=YF
is making to sense Asian antipathy for Apple and that does not bode well.

Apple needs to be careful in picking its battles and i really hope it does so.
The OSX Lion can fight a bison for sure but should be careful in not waking up
the herd to get trampled upon in a stampede.

Apple is a great company, however Samsung/Sony are relentless guys and to add to the irony
Apple's key component suppilers. (atleast one of them)
http://nanseninvestments.com/2012/07/29/samsung-is-a-prate-ship/

And dont forget Microsoft and Google.
http://www.keirthomas.com/blogging/the-return-of-the-marginalized-apple-fan
http://www.forbes.com/sites/petercohan/2012/08/31/apple-losing-in-the-smart-phone-market-tries-to-win-in-court/

http://www.informationweek.com/mobility/smart-phones/apple-worked-a-broken-patent-system/240006568

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/get-that-apple-iphone-5-out-of-my-face-2012-08-31?link=kiosk

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

SPPI coverage initiated

Put  Call Ratio: 0.69

Two Guru's above 60%

Vanguard holds it.

Current rating is a buy.

1st year target ~23

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Barrick gives 15.8% returns

1000 $ invested 16th July at 34.6
Current price : 40.06

10% return in 1month 1week.

Plus dividend at the month end.

Ticker: ABX

http://seekingalpha.com/article/846011-buy-barrick-gold-now-skip-goldcorp?source=yahoo

Monday, August 20, 2012

Buy Gold, Short the Dollar.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/818191-will-higher-gold-prices-help-your-gold-stock-portfolio?source=yahoo

http://wallstcheatsheet.com/stocks/gold-and-silver-jump-to-new-multi-month-highs.html/?ref=YF

http://us.rd.yahoo.com/finance/external/pssa/SIG=13pnf7q6h/*http://seekingalpha.com/article/821251-it-s-not-too-late-to-ride-the-bounce-in-the-gold-miners-how-to-play-it-right-now?source=yahoo

http://beta.fool.com/sewrites/2012/08/22/buying-barrick-gold-ahead-china/9992/?ticker=KGC&source=eogyholnk0000001

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

EPS growth over 30% qtr to qtr Stocks

1ASPSAltisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.FinancialMortgage InvestmentLuxembourg1.97B21.9984.550.13%53,545
2CTBCooper Tire & Rubber Co.Consumer GoodsRubber & PlasticsUSA1.22B4.1019.771.13%412,814
3DDSDillard's Inc.ServicesDepartment StoresUSA3.61B7.7174.080.23%189,714
4DSWDSW Inc.ServicesApparel StoresUSA2.63B9.6658.59-0.78%161,259
5EGHT8x8 Inc.TechnologyCommunication EquipmentUSA408.06M5.575.841.74%201,321
6MNSTMonster Beverage CorporationConsumer GoodsBeverages - Soft DrinksUSA10.34B32.7358.680.15%3,082,361
7PIIPolaris Industries, Inc.Consumer GoodsRecreational VehiclesUSA4.98B19.7673.761.46%482,464
8PIRPier 1 Imports, Inc.ServicesHome Furnishing StoresUSA1.87B11.2617.610.86%455,784
9SIMOSilicon Motion Technology Corp.TechnologyDiversified ElectronicsTaiwan523.10M12.6216.612.85%319,926
10SWHCSmith & Wesson Holding CorporationIndustrial GoodsAerospace/Defense Products & ServicesUSA637.62M25.688.90-8.81%3,292,114

Newly screened stocks based on Impressive EPS growth

Thanks to Prasad who pointed me to some stocks with impressive growth,
turns out they have more than 200% EPS.

No.TickerCompanySectorIndustryCountryMarket CapP/EPriceChangeVolume
1AAPLApple Inc.TechnologyPersonal ComputersUSA592.15B14.85629.68-0.32%5,633,034
2ASPSAltisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.FinancialMortgage InvestmentLuxembourg1.97B21.9984.580.17%53,345
3BYIBally Technologies, Inc.TechnologyApplication SoftwareUSA1.91B19.6244.560.47%285,560
4CTBCooper Tire & Rubber Co.Consumer GoodsRubber & PlasticsUSA1.22B4.1019.771.13%412,314
5DDSDillard's Inc.ServicesDepartment StoresUSA3.61B7.7174.160.34%180,885
6DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.ServicesDiscount, Variety StoresUSA11.74B23.8850.27-0.69%1,076,346
7DSWDSW Inc.ServicesApparel StoresUSA2.63B9.6658.55-0.85%155,893
8EGHT8x8 Inc.TechnologyCommunication EquipmentUSA408.06M5.575.841.74%181,671
9FASTFastenal CompanyIndustrial GoodsGeneral Building MaterialsUSA12.52B31.5542.831.30%691,835
10GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.ServicesIndustrial Equipment WholesaleUSA14.02B20.64202.170.48%123,280
11HIBBHibbett Sports, Inc.ServicesSporting Goods StoresUSA1.60B25.6360.70-0.08%91,785
12LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc.ServicesCatalog & Mail Order HousesUSA1.35B28.5044.762.66%262,574
13MANHManhattan Associates, Inc.TechnologyApplication SoftwareUSA954.35M19.3848.030.77%43,549
14MNSTMonster Beverage CorporationConsumer GoodsBeverages - Soft DrinksUSA10.34B32.7358.680.15%3,069,808
15NVONovo Nordisk A/SHealthcareDrug Manufacturers - OtherDenmark108.10B28.54159.460.30%560,501
16PIIPolaris Industries, Inc.Consumer GoodsRecreational VehiclesUSA4.98B19.7673.761.46%475,086
17PIRPier 1 Imports, Inc.ServicesHome Furnishing StoresUSA1.87B11.2617.620.92%455,584
18ROSTRoss Stores Inc.ServicesApparel StoresUSA15.24B22.1468.461.35%953,235
19SIMOSilicon Motion Technology Corp.TechnologyDiversified ElectronicsTaiwan523.10M12.6216.612.85%319,926
20SNIScripps Networks Interactive, Inc.ServicesBroadcasting - TVUSA8.84B18.8359.25-0.10%266,389

Tuesday, August 7, 2012

High Risk Stocks, Sometimes high gain.

NFLX
(Netflix)

ANF
(Abercombie ..)

are both at 52-week lows. Good arbitrage point, easily return of 5-10% over a month or two.

WARNING:
EPS Q/Q negative

They are like cousins from different industries, ANF has more upside potential
considering PEG and P/E.

Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Coverage initiated on Coach

Coach (COH) is a strong brand.

The recent sell-off may be a good entry point.
The stock is owned by good funds (Vanguard)

Momentum however is mixed and market sentiment
overall is negative.

Learn from the Gurus

Sunday, July 29, 2012

Coverage on CJES

Guru raking - good 2
momentum on the positive -- 3
market sentiment - good -- 3

Spread is not much encouraging,but stock is at 18 so a jump of
2 is easily 10%.


Thursday, July 12, 2012

Heavy weights which can give you returns long term


No.TickerCompanySectorIndustryCountryMarket CapP/EPriceChangeVolume
1AAPLApple Inc.TechnologyPersonal ComputersUSA560.01B14.60598.90-0.91%15,263,935
2ABXBarrick Gold CorporationBasic MaterialsGoldCanada34.58B7.6634.56-1.12%13,021,669
3BIDUBaidu, Inc.TechnologyInternet Information ProvidersChina37.79B32.30108.21-0.65%3,443,271
4PCLNpriceline.com IncorporatedServicesGeneral EntertainmentUSA31.82B28.87639.08-1.17%1,028,907


BIDU and ABX at 52-week lows

Skeptical of BIDU because of Chinese economy not expanding..

http://www.thestreet.com/story/11616860/1/baidu-inc-bidu-todays-featured-internet-winner.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO

http://seekingalpha.com/article/725561-barrick-gold-a-fundamentally-strong-stock-to-consider-now?source=yahoo

http://seekingalpha.com/article/761231-3-reasons-to-buy-barrick-gold?source=yahoo

http://seekingalpha.com/article/807091-6-large-cap-stocks-priming-their-growth-with-strong-profitability?source=yahoo

http://seekingalpha.com/article/814411-1-gold-stock-to-avoid-with-alternative-options?source=yahoo

Tuesday, July 10, 2012

New screened stocks


Ticker Momentum        Guru     Put/Call    morningstar near 52 week low Misc
SLW 1 1 0.55/1 1 N Metals possible comeback
COH 1 3 2.0/1 3 N
INTU 1 1 0.75/1 3 N
IPGP 1 1 0.87/1 2 N


Momentum wise, all are dimunitive.

The only possible plays are SLW and COH

Long term plays

IPGP
COH
SLW

Sunday, June 3, 2012

Thursday, May 24, 2012

Alls Well That Ends Well !!

Facebook (FB) Lovers, dont despair.

Love for the stock is far however there.

BTW, GOLD is having a good run and broke 81.

Thursday, May 17, 2012

New screen of Stocks




Ticker Momentum        Guru     Put/Call    morningstar near 52 week low Misc
APEI 2 3 0.45/1 3 Y
           
ASPS 2 3 0.28/1 1 N *-europe
           
BIDU 2 2 0.84/1 3 N
VAR 2 na 0.50/1 3 N
GOLD 3 na 0.54/1 3 Y
SPPI 3 na 0.35/1 3 N
NSU 1 na 0.41/1 2 Y *-litigation

Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Tough times never last but Tough companies do.

As long as the company has been delivering solid earnings (companies listed in below filters)


and you ride the wave's watching the momentum graphs (@marketwatch)
and capture market sentiment from Market Sentiment

Lastly, listen to the Gurus (nasdaq.com/<ticker>/guru)
and morning star ratings, you can easily net 10 % pm.

Tried the model 4 times and it works.

Recent success stories:

QCOR : 37.3 - 42
SPRD : 15.5 - 17.43

Each 12-14%

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Redhat's Astronomical rise

Q: Why did the Golden List miss it?

Cramer bragged about Redhat for atleast 10-15 mins. on CNBC.

I reverse engineered the query using stats of Redhat and found the following list of interesting companies:

Next Best List

Interesting to find QCOR, ARMH, BIDU, PCLN, STMP on the list found by other queries.

Friday, March 23, 2012

Stocks with potential


Ticker Momentum        Guru     Put/Call    morningstar         Total
QCOR 3 2 0.78 3 8
GPOR 2 2 0.14 3 7
SPRD 3 2 0.44 2 7

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Newly screened stocks APEI STMP QCOR ..

Safe List

These are stocks just initiating coverage on.

No.TickerCompanySectorIndustryCountryMarket CapP/EPriceChangeVolume
1APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc.ServicesBusiness ServicesUSA705.51M17.7039.481.23%366,700
2IPGPIPG Photonics CorporationTechnologySemiconductor - Integrated CircuitsUSA2.72B22.3553.862.16%811,500
3QCORQuestcor Pharmaceuticals, Inc.HealthcareBiotechnologyUSA2.32B30.1336.461.73%1,749,400
4STMPStamps.com Inc.ServicesCatalog & Mail Order HousesUSA420.73M16.5928.03-1.72%269,200