Missing Sauce: Momentum, Direction and Strength

RSI: Determine if overbought to oversold condition

30 to 70 value

PEG: PE along with growth factor < 1 is good Low < 0.2 is very good.

AND MACD

Thanks to Sumeet for tipping me on this.

Time for Mining Stocks

Time for Mining ?

NASDAQ Stock Guru Analysis

Microsoft Guru Analysis

Apple Guru Analysis

Alcoa Guru Analysis

http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/<stock-quite>/guru-analysis

Four Gurus interested in one stock. Click here

Another method is to refer the strategy of the Guru's for:
Right stocks to pick (or)
Good stocks to pick

SWI a darling, Latin American Stocks beware !

SWI seems ready to POP

Peru mining stocks get a beating .. BVN

Be careful of foreign stocks a lot goes on the government.

Golden List

Stocks that are the ones to BUY!

Apple Aruba Keynote SolarWinds Going Strong

These stocks should be in your OTHER 50

Aggressive List

THE OTHER 50 - Aggressive ones am watching

CROX
PMTI
OYOG
DHX
ZUMZ

Another interesting pick QCOM

EPS Growth Over 5%
Dbt/ Equity under 0.1
EPS Growth this year Over 10%
EPS Growth qtr to qtr : Over 5%
Current Ratio: Over 1
Volume: Over 20 mil

QCOM

When The Market Bottoms

One solid indicator is 'Mutual Fund Redemptions'.

Most of you know the recent slump in Sept.
http://wallstreetpit.com/83792-august-marks-another-month-of-heavy-mutual-fund-redemptions

Learn about redemptions here:
http://www.learningmarkets.com/mutual-fund-redemptions-help-you-determine-a-market-bottom/
To get the data, just create an google alert.
Check this beautiful graph: http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/2011/10/Outflows%2010.26.jpg

More:
http://www.nasdaq.com/newscontent/20090326/stock-market-bottom-use-these-5-qsecretq-indicators-to-find-out.aspx?storyid=20090326192456learncontentfeedstocks&categoryid=Stocks

Interesting stock at 52 week low

BMC, market sentiment seems OK.
Some good mutual funds hold it.

Yearly target still seems around 48$ per yahoo.

http://quote.morningstar.com/stock/s.aspx?t=bmc

And similar posts on yahoo finance:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/6-Stocks-Drop-52-Week-Lows-wscheats-1154825259.html?x=0

What to Do

My 2 cents:

1. Keep a 50-50 portfolio. Half in 'Forever' stocks, going  'REALLY' Long.
    Will later comment on whether Gold iShares fit in here.

2. The other half to Trade over a monthly period.

3. The Other Half needs the following steps:

     ASSURE YOURSELF OF A ROCK SOLID FOOTING,
     this way even if the stocks dip they rise back up

1.   Filter the stocks using the Stock screener (finviz.com) -- include analyst rating
2.   Check individual growth and health on morningstar.com
3.   Check Trefis.com for estimates

     GET THE MARKET PULSE

1.   Check the Put/Call ratio to get the pulse of the Options market on the stock tick
2.   Do check the 52 week-low stocks either on finviz.com or stokpickr.com
3.   Check news for new brokered deals, this is as simple as signing for news on the stock
     tick    (investopedia/ stockpickr) does a good job.

     GET MACRO INDICATORS

     1.   Check the value of Gold and Oil, Gold is still a safe haven.
     2.   Larger news like Europe debt issues, home mortgage and such

A SIMPLE THREE-PRONGED STRATEGY -  RPM
Rock Pulse Macro strategy.

This covers What and How, next Post is
THER OTHER HALF: WHEN TO GET IN and WHEN TO GET OUT
    

Many of my friends (and my dad) wanted to know, ok, this sounds good.
Whats the results like?

A total gain of 335 $ over a period of 14 active stock market days, that i consider 'NOT BAD'.
Better is definitely possible, but possibly riskier too.
Again, thanks to Europe and their continuing indecision's.

Activity Date	Transaction	Description	Symbol	Qty	Fill Price	Commission	Net Amount
10/24/2011	Sell To Close	QCOM Stock	QCOM	-10	53.22	3.95	528.25
10/24/2011	Sell To Close	BIDU Stock	BIDU	-10	128.77	3.95	1283.75
10/24/2011	Sell To Close	AAPL Stock	AAPL	-8	403.9	3.95	3227.25
10/20/2011	Buy To Open	AAPL Stock	AAPL	3	395.71	3.95	-1191.08
10/20/2011	Buy To Open	QCOM Stock	QCOM	10	52.73	3.95	-531.25
10/20/2011	Buy To Open	AAPL Stock	AAPL	5	399.32	3.95	-2000.55
10/20/2011	Buy To Open	BIDU Stock	BIDU	10	122.84	3.95	-1232.35
10/12/2011	Sell To Close	AA Stock	AA	-100	9.98	3.95	994.05
10/12/2011	Sell To Close	CMCSA Stock	CMCSA	-100	23.51	3.95	2347.05
10/5/2011	Buy To Open	CMCSA Stock	CMCSA	100	21.51	3.95	-2154.95
10/5/2011	Buy To Open	AA Stock	AA	100	9.3	3.95	-933.95
							336.22

Long term growth stocks

AA - Alcoa
EMC - Storage tech
PFE - Pfizer

Read more about EMC here:

http://stocks.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/2011/EMC---The-Best-Company-In-The-Best-Business-EMC-ORCL-IBM-VMW-NTAP-DELL-HPQ1020.aspx?partner=YahooSA#axzz1bQs5pXGA

Disclosure: Hold no positions on these stocks.

Undervalued Stocks to Buy

1 ABX Barrick Gold Corporation Basic Materials Gold Canada 44.31B 11.57 44.33 -1.05% 11,444,098
2 BVN Compania de Minas Buenaventura SA Basic Materials Gold Peru 10.45B 11.78 37.93 -0.99% 777,257
3 KGC Kinross Gold Corporation Basic Materials Gold Canada 15.38B 12.76 13.53 -0.15% 7,885,877
4 NVO Novo Nordisk A/S Healthcare Drug Manufacturers - Other Denmark 67.08B 19.85 98.65 2.20% 586,018
5 VALE Vale S.A. Basic Materials Industrial Metals & Minerals Brazil 115.94B 4.69 22.21 -1.77% 22,387,264


Echoed by : http://seekingalpha.com/article/300853-16-mega-cap-stocks-deeply-undervalued-by-target-price?source=yahoo

New screened stocks

Market Cap: Large
EPS Growth Past 5 years: Over 5%
Net Profit Margin: Over 15%
Debt/Equity: Under 0.1
EPS Growth this year: Over 10%
EPS Growth qtr to qtr: Over 5%
Current Ratio: Over 1.5
Analyst Reco: Buy or Better

No. Ticker Company Sector Industry Country Market Cap P/E Price Change Volume
1 AAPL Apple Inc. Technology Personal Computers USA 369.56B 15.78 398.62 -5.59% 39,367,208
2 AUY Yamana Gold, Inc. Basic Materials Gold Canada 10.62B 16.96 14.25 -5.44% 11,378,563
3 BIDU Baidu, Inc. Technology Internet Information Providers China 44.03B 57.38 126.23 -4.64% 7,852,205
4 COH Coach Inc. Consumer Goods Textile - Apparel Footwear & Accessories USA 17.18B 20.27 59.20 -2.78% 3,402,642
5 CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. Technology Business Software & Services USA 21.35B 26.43 70.31 -1.71% 1,920,018
6 GOOG Google Inc. Technology Internet Information Providers USA 187.50B 19.79 580.70 -1.66% 2,926,873
7 INFY Infosys Technologies Limited Technology Technical & System Software India 31.42B 19.71 54.99 -1.47% 1,362,107
8 INTC Intel Corporation Technology Semiconductor - Broad Line USA 127.28B 11.12 24.24 3.59% 139,697,344
9 KGC Kinross Gold Corporation Basic Materials Gold Canada 15.41B 12.78 13.55 -7.06% 8,180,928
10 MA Mastercard Incorporated Services Business Services USA 41.14B 20.07 323.77 -4.74% 1,291,045
11 QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated Technology Communication Equipment USA 88.35B 20.08 52.60 -3.59% 15,026,572
12 V Visa, Inc. Services Business Services USA 73.59B 21.10 90.08 -4.08% 5,410,749

Only BIDU and AAPL have AAA ratings on morningstar.
QCOM is also compelling.

AUY seems interesting but i would stir away.

MY STOCK PICKS:
AAPL
QCOM
BIDU

Disclosure: I hold no positions on these stocks.

Factors

Need a way to factor in broader indicators like

a. Sector Earnings

b. Unemployment and consumer index

c. Home demand

b. Environmental disaster -- no way

Golman Sachs Conviction Buy List

http://www.thestreet.com/story/10958063/2/goldmans-10-best-stock-picks-for-2011.html

and updates at:

http://www.streetinsider.com/entities/Goldman+Sachs+Conviction+Buy+List

Note: 80-90% Underperformed from the conviction list.

Market Sentiment

Capture Put/Call Ratio:

http://www.theocc.com/webapps/volume-query

Indicators

Market Cap : Large (Over 10 Billion)
EPS Growth past 5 years: > 20%
Analyst reco: Buy or Better
EPS grwoth this year: > 20%
EPS qtr over qtr: > 5%
Net Profit Margin: > 15%
Dividend: > 0%
P/E: Under 25

Total: 15 #1 save as portfolio Page 1/1

No. Ticker Company Sector Industry Country Market Cap P/E Price Change Volume
1 AUY Yamana Gold, Inc. Basic Materials Gold Canada 10.71B 17.11 14.37 2.35% 6,726,210
2 CSX CSX Corp. Services Railroads USA 22.87B 13.47 20.88 3.93% 6,309,700
3 VALE Vale S.A. Basic Materials Industrial Metals & Minerals Brazil 126.48B 5.11 24.23 3.72% 16,810,204
4 ORCL Oracle Corp. Technology Application Software USA 156.23B 17.60 30.97 3.54% 27,639,246
5 ABV Companhia de Bebidas Das Americas (AMBEV) Consumer Goods Beverages - Brewers Brazil 101.42B 21.54 32.53 1.50% 2,414,776
6 ALTR Altera Corp. Technology Semiconductor - Specialized USA 11.15B 12.56 34.41 3.15% 3,243,991
7 ASML ASML Holding NV Technology Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Netherlands 15.95B 8.06 36.98 1.76% 2,624,948
8 POT Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Inc. Basic Materials Agricultural Chemicals Canada 40.04B 17.13 46.76 4.56% 6,474,530
9 ABX Barrick Gold Corporation Basic Materials Gold Canada 47.93B 12.52 47.95 2.81% 4,287,986
10 NEM Newmont Mining Corp. Basic Materials Gold USA 35.47B 13.57 65.27 3.46% 3,753,194
11 V Visa, Inc. Services Business Services USA 72.91B 20.90 89.25 3.48% 3,328,215
12 UNP Union Pacific Corporation Services Railroads USA 44.90B 15.31 92.00 3.60% 2,442,907
13 NVO Novo Nordisk A/S Healthcare Drug Manufacturers - Other Denmark 67.82B 20.78 99.75 5.47% 320,624
14 BLK BlackRock, Inc. Financial Asset Management USA 27.81B 12.65 155.25 5.05% 1,081,306
15 MA Mastercard Incorporated Services Business Services USA 41.40B 20.20 325.81 4.61% 950,262





source: finviz.com

Steps are simple

stockpickr.com
1. Check stocks hitting 52 week low or near.

trefis.com
2. Check Trefis price and estimates. See what analysts are saying

3. Check research on morningstar

4. Check who all are owning the stock. like Buffet etc., members of congress

5. Check news on the industry for that company/sector, like deals

6. Do check P/E and Book value and 1 year estimated price on yahoo finance.